Metal Gear is coming in September and that's likely to be big, especially on the PS4, there will also be other titles like Just Cause 3, Mad Max, and supposedly a Ratchet and Clank game. Add those to the games that you named (minus Batman as that comes out in June) and add the typical annual sports games and Assassin's Creed and that's a pretty strong holiday lineup all around, I just don't this game would be able to compete against all of that.
and that is somehow worse than releasing in a period with Witcher 3, Batman, Project cars, and PGA Tour, and doesn't that Elder Scrolls Online come to consoles around this time too?