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alegna713 · 19 hours ago
Alright, I have seen this picture be circulated around facebook too many times and it's time to work through the math for everyone to see why it's a 100% MYTH. Using only 2014 numbers (no 2015 numbers were up yet, here we go: Since the picture doesn't make any specifications, I’m just going to run the numbers as whole numbers, for the all countries in the world
So lets look at the first number, stating that the US is 3rd in the world in murders. The US is actually 8th in the world in murders, at 14,249 in 2014. Ahead of it are: Brazil: 50,108 India: 43,355 Nigeria: 33,817 Mexico: 26,037 Democratic Republic of the Congo: 18,586 South Africa: 16,259 Venezuela: 16,072 The 2nd part states that removing those 4 cities, Chicago, Detroit, Washington DC, and New Orleans, would move the US from 3rd from top to 4th from last.
Let’s look at the murder numbers from those 4 cities (known to law enforcement, of course). Chicago: 411 Detroit: 298 New Orleans: 150 Washington DC: 105 Total: 964, or 6.77% of the total murders for the US in 2014. Now if you subtract that number from the total, it leaves you with 13,285 murders, which means that we aren't anywhere near "the 4th from bottom number" after taking out those 4 cities.
There are currently 218 nations in the world, after taking out those 4 cities from the total, the following cities are now above the US in total murders: Columbia: 14,670 Pakistan: 13,846 US: 13,285 China: 13,410 So America moves down 2 places to number 10 in the world. 4th from the bottom of 218 would be 214, meaning this infographic is very, very wrong.
Another thing to note is that the 4 cities aren’t all even the top 4 highest murder cities in the country. Those honors go to: Chicago: 411 New York: 333 Detroit: 298 Philadelphia: 248 Keep in mind: Big cities can have more murders than small cities, but those numbers above aren't as a rate per population.
This NeighborhoodScout report factors in population size to determine the number of murders in each city per 1,000 people, thereby normalizing for population and more clearly representing the risk to residents of a city. 1 East St. Louis, IL 2 Camden, NJ 3 Gary, IN 4 Chester, PA 5 Saginaw, MI *Disclaimer: the world crime statistics were taken from the 2013 homicide numbers, as there were none I could find for 2014. Citations: