I think that is a more worthwhile discussion than trying to guess who will win it.
Honestly, for me- and I'm picking it because I'm playing it now, not that it came out in 2017- I'm going with MAD Max. It's so atypically beautiful.
Avalanche did such an amazing job of making a desert wasteland look amazing and full of variety. It feels much more real than the desert areas in Horizon ZD. The light renderer is up there with the likes of Driveclub, it's got an impressive physical presence owning to it's physics system, and some awesome, ever-present use of particle systems.
Only real downers are the skin shaders and that it's a bit blurry (one the XOne). I love how everything feels weighty and tangible because of the physics. Everything touches each other. It's so rare in games...