From the lawyer covering the topic…
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Next important dates:
- January 3rd 2023: prehearing conference with the FTC Administrative Law Judge.
It's virtual and public.
- Early January 2023: provisional findings and remedies (if required) from the CMA. My guess would be between January 3rd and 17th.
- January 18th 2023: original outside date (when the parties expected the merger to be done). If MS quits before that date they have to pay a termination fee of $2,000,000,000; if they don’t, the outside date gets extended until April 18th 2023.
- Late January 2023: Statement of objections from the EC (unless MS can offer a convincing remedy package to avoid it).
- February 3rd 2023: decision from New Zealand.
- March 1st 2023: final report and remedies (if required) from the CMA.
- April 11th 2023: final decision from the EC (if MS didn’t close the deal in before in Europe).
- April 18th 2023: second extension of the original outside date. If MS quits before that date they have to pay a termination fee of $2,500,000,000; if they don’t, the outside date gets extended until July 18th 2023.
- April - May 2023: decision from the SAMR in China.
- July 18th 2023: The end of the second extension and final outside date in the merger agreement. If MS quits before that date they have to pay a termination fee of $3,000,000,000; if they don’t, they’ll have to renegotiate the outside date with ABK.
- August 2nd 2023: beginning of the FTC in-house trial.
- Early 2024: decision from the FTC administrative law judge.
- Anything beyond that: unknown