Digital sales and BC will be a big deal because you can't trade games in anymore if you've gone digital, in the past many people (me included) would just trade everything in towards the new console but if you've gone digital that's out the window and it will be something that keeps people from jumping ship because they feel more invested in the ecosystem. With Sony having so much success with their first party lineup over the past few years it's going to be hard to get people to say "Oh I'll just get rid of Horizon, God of war, Spider-Man, TLOU2 etc to go play Halo and Gears" and while I know you said they needed new exclusives it's hard to see that happening anytime soon when they've gone a whole gen without creating a new flagship series.